I Stand With Rand and will vote for him in the primary. That's said, he doesn't stand a chance of winning the nomination. Like his awesome father, Rand will not win the theocon-neocon vote and he doesn't appeal to statist Rockefeller Republicans. The liberty wing of the Republican Party remains weak, very weak.
I believe that Iowa is pretty much irrelevant. Huckabee won Iowa in 2008 and Sanitorium won it in 2012. Cruz will probably win Iowa in 2016 because of the strong religious right advantage, followed by Trump (it could be close). I also predict that Rand will have a respectable finish in IA - Ron got 21% in 2012.
After Iowa it's on the NH where Trump is polling strong. New Hampshire is not a religious right friendly state so the advantage goes to Trump. RCP averages (here) have Trump polling at 24.3 in NH followed by Carson (13%), Rubio (11.3), Cruz (9.0), Kasich (8.7), Bush (7.3), Christie (7.0), Fiorina (5.0), Paul (3.7).
The Republican primary schedule:
Super Tuesday 3/1
Kentucky (GOP caucus)
Hawaii caucus (GOP)
District of Columbia
States with no firm dates: North Dakota, Maine, Wyoming
Source: US Presidential Election News
Spoiler Alert: The online gambling sites have been dead on accurate in the past and Pivit is considered one of the best. Right now the gamblers are predicting that Rubio will be the Republican nominee:
Rubio: 44% probability of winning
The online gambling results are very fluid and subject to rapid change. A Rubio primary victory would constitute yet another HUGE victory for the establishment, neocons, defense contractors, NSA, open border advocates, TPP supporters, banksters, crony capitalists and just about everything that has ruined America, destroyed the middle class and made America a debt ridden, bankrupt empire.
Are Republican voters stupid enough to nominate Rubio? Yeah. They nominated 2 Bushes, McCain and Mittens.
What will happen? I really don't know but right now it's looking like Trump has the advantage in the polls and Rubio has the advantage with the gamblers.